The 78% Certainty: Dissecting Polymarket's CS2 Signal and the Fragility of Decentralized Consensus
The number flashed on screen: 78%. That’s the probability the market assigned...
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Greed
Market Sentiment
Team and early investor shares released
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
92 million ARB released
Block reward halving event
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Bitcoin Season