The 78% Certainty: Dissecting Polymarket's CS2 Signal and the Fragility of Decentralized Consensus
The number flashed on screen: 78%. That’s the probability the market assigned...
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Greed
Market Sentiment
92 million ARB released
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Block reward halving event
Team and early investor shares released
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Bitcoin Season